
How net present value works
How net present value works
To understand NPV, first let's examine the time value of money, which is the idea that having a dollar in the future is not worth as much as having that dollar today. By discounting future cash flows based on how far in the future they are projected to occur, and then adding together each of those discounted values, a number is obtained that represents the net value at present of those projected cash flows. A positive number indicates that the project is profitable on a net basis, while a negative number indicates that the project would create a net loss.
How to calculate net present value
How to calculate net present value
Using the data below, let's walk through an example to better understand how to determine a project's NPV.
Imagine that you have an opportunity to invest $15,000 to expand your business, and then estimate that this investment will generate $3,000 in profit annually for the next 10 years. Your company's cost of capital, which is used as the discount rate, is 10% per year.
The present value in the table above is the value of each projected cash flow discounted to its equivalent value today. Summing the projected values and subtracting the initial cash outlay of $15,000 produces a net present value for the project of $3,433.70. Since the NPV number is positive, the project is likely to be profitable.Capital
Advantages and disadvantages of NPV
Advantages and disadvantages of NPV
NPV Advantages | NPV Disadvantages |
---|---|
Incorporates time value of money. | Accuracy depends on quality of inputs. |
Simple way to determine if a project delivers value. | Not useful for comparing projects of different sizes, as the largest projects typically generate highest returns. |
Considers a company's cost of capital. | May omit hidden costs such as opportunity costs and organizational costs. |
Accounts for inherent uncertainty of projections by most heavily discounting far-future estimates. | Purely quantitative in nature and does not consider qualitative factors. |
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Frequently asked questions about NPV
What is the difference between NPV and IRR?
The internal rate of return (IRR) is the annual rate of return a potential project is expected to generate. IRR is calculated by setting the NPV in the above equation to zero and solving for the rate "r."
While both NPV and IRR can be useful for evaluating a potential project, the two measures are used differently. A project's NPV only needs to be positive for the endeavor to be worthwhile, while the IRR that results from setting the NPV to zero is compared to a company's required rate of return. Projects with IRRs above the required rate of return are generally considered attractive opportunities. IRR is also more useful than NPV for evaluating projects of different sizes.What is a good NPV?
Why are future cash flows discounted to NPV?
Simply put, because of the time value of money. A dollar in the future is worth less than a dollar today, and incorporating that concept into financial models is the best way to make investment decisions in the present. The future is uncertain, and inflationary pressures further cause the value of a dollar to weaken over time.